Friday, June 01, 2007

Tropical Storm Barry: June 1

Well this is a fine start to this season! That pesky low pressure system
has mutated during the day and has just been declared a Tropical Storm.
The NHC sent in a plane this afternoon and they came back with a central
pressure of 1000mb.

There's a Tropical Storm warning for the west coast of Florida from
Bonita Beach to Keaton Beach (including Tampa Bay), and a TS watch from
Keaton Beach to St. Marks to the north.

TS Barry is a weak system, with max. winds of 45 mph. He's moving north
and is currently over water of over 26 degs C and will remain over those
until tomorrow, before heading into slightly cooler waters. He is also
in a region of high wind shear. I still don't see any circulation higher
up in the atmosphere (not even at mid-levels of 5km) - another indicator
that it should remain a weak system.

It looks like this afternoon the thunderstorm activity flared up closer
to the center, along with stronger winds. So they have changed the
classification from subtropical to tropical - and you all know about
that now.

All the rainfall is ahead of the system. At the moment it looks like a
lovely day in England to me :)

I'll send out another update tomorrow or later today if it looks like
it's developing further.

J.
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DISCLAIMER:
These remarks are just what I think/see regarding tropical storms - not
the opinion of any organization I represent. If you are making an
evacuation decision, please heed your local emergency management and the
National Hurricane Center's official forecast and the National Weather
Service announcements. This is not an official forecast.
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