[Jyo_hurricane] Subtropical Storm Olga: December 10, Update A

How's a person supposed to Hibernate when there are Subtropical Storms
about? And didn't anyone tell Mother Nature that statistically, "Hurricane
Season" (June 1- Nov 30, when 97% of storms occur) is over?

Yes, Subtropical Storm Olga is out there, with a center of circulation in
the vicinity of the Virgin Islands. She's heading in a west-southwestward
direction at a fairly nice 15 mph, and has been slowly getting better
organized during the day, so this evening she officially became a STS.

She is experiencing some wind shear, which is why the major portion of
convective activity is to the north and east of the center, but the Virgin
Islands are close to the center, and on the southern edge of some heavy
convection, so I expect they are getting a bit of rain.

She is a weak but broad Subtropical Storm (no reflection on anyone called
Olga!!) with sustained winds of 40 mph (TS: 39-73mph) extending out about
200 miles from the center, and although she is over warm water (27 deg C),
she is interacting with the mountains of Puerto Rico, and will also be
interacting with the Dominican Republic/Haiti soon. That, combined with
the wind shear should prevent her from intensifying too much.

Although the official track takes her over Hispaniola and into the
Caribbean, I think there's a chance that she might stay a little north of
that track and might end up heading towards Cuba instead if she survives
that long - we will see. Regardless, PR is getting rain, and Hispaniola
can expect it tomorrow.

I'll send out another update when I can (sometime tomorrow).

Night night,
J.

Blogs archived at: http://www.jyotikastorms.blogspot.com/
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DISCLAIMER:
These remarks are just what I think/see regarding tropical storms - not
the opinion of any organization I represent. If you are making an
evacuation decision, please heed your local emergency management and the
National Hurricane Center's official forecast and the National Weather
Service announcements. This is not an official forecast. If I "run away,
run away" (Monty Python), I'll let you know.
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