Wednesday, October 03, 2012

Tropical Storm Nadine and TD15: October 3, Update A

Today was supposed to be a travel day but my plane’s brake system decided to go on holiday instead (while we were on the tarmac), so luckily for you, here I am. ;-) We even got a tow back to the terminal (whilst in the plane) – it probably wouldn’t have looked good driving into a building. I have to say that the airline were super about the whole thing. Lots of fun and all before 8am! J (Someone still needs to hurry up and invent teleportation…).

We have two storms in the Atlantic today. Phew, it’s a good job we are winding down the season. ;-)

Tropical Storm Nadine
She’s looking scragglier by the day (and more so by the night); her convection is not very well organized as you can see in this satellite image:

Officially her wind speeds are 45mph (central pressure 1002mb), which makes her a very weak Tropical Storm (range: 39-73mph). There is still some circulation in the lower half of the troposphere, but at all levels it now looks like it is merging with a low pressure front as opposed to being a stand-alone storm.

Here is her track as drawn by a two year old:

Oh, my mistake… that’s the real track. ;-) She is currently at  36.5N, 31W and is heading NE, and across the Azores, at 18mph. Yes… there is a northward component and she’s zooming along. Given how weak she is, we might actually be done with Nadine by this time tomorrow! One can hope.  

Tropical Depression 15
Our Atlantic Blob now has a number, just like a character in the 60s classic (British) TV show The Prisoner (filmed in Portmeirion, Wales… the same place the pottery is from. Did anyone else watch that show?). This (storm) may be my long-awaited Oscar!

He currently has winds of 35mph, central pressure 1008mb. He is very close to being a Tropical Storm, and may already have crossed that boundary actually. The circulation has improved a lot in the lower troposphere since yesterday and there is a ‘bunch of convection’ (a technical definition ;-)). Water temperatures are 27 deg C, with the upper 50-75m warmer than 26 deg C. However there is also a lot of wind shear for a storm this size.  You would be able to see the clouds streaming off to the northeast if I could show you a clean satellite image (which I can’t quite get my paws on).

As suspected, he made that northward turn into the Atlantic that I wrote about yesterday morning, and he is currently at 18.6N, 42W and heading NNW at 14mph. I think he is chasing Nadine… let’s hope he is a little more sober!

That’s it storm-wise for today. I’m going back to travel chat. Although we may be a fair way from teleportation, warp drive (travel faster than the speed of light) might be around the corner! How cool would that be!?! J  (Warp Drive May Be More Feasible Than Thought:

And with all this talk of warping, it is time to watch either the Presidential Debate or Dr. Who… hmm… Presidential Candidates on TV or Dinosaurs in Spaceships? (oooh… Presidential Debates in Spaceships, now there’s an idea! J).

Until tomorrow my friends!

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DISCLAIMER: These remarks are just what I think/see regarding tropical storms - not the opinion of any organization I represent. If you are making an evacuation decision, please heed your local emergency management and the National Hurricane Center's official forecast and the National Weather Service announcements. This is not an official forecast. If I "run away, run away" (Monty Python), I'll let you know.

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