Sunday, June 24, 2012

Tropical Storm Debby: June 24, Update B

The NHC shifted Debby’s track away from Texas and extended the Tropical Storm warning and watches eastward and down to the northern end of Tampa Bay in their 11am advisory. This is definitely more plausible as far as the track goes. Currently they are showing landfall in Louisiana on Wednesday afternoon/evening. There is a good possibility that this will shift even farther to the east, and I wouldn’t be surprised if landfall was in the Florida panhandle or Big Bend area as late as Tuesday or Weds.
She is currently at 28N, 86.2W, crawling northeastward at 6mph. Her winds are still at 60mph, with a central pressure of 994mb. The convection is still to the north and the east. It does look like it has eased up a little since this morning – a consequence of her interactions with land and that she is no longer over the Loop Current:
However the circulation in the upper levels of the troposphere has improved as wind shear is slowly decreasing so there is a very good possibility that she’ll be a strong Tropical Storm or a cat 1 hurricane.

I received lots of weather reports! From Richard S. in New Orleans from Saturday night: breezy, but still pretty warm and humid. No rain.  From Karen M. in north Pinellas: dumped rain gauge with 2.75in water. From Molly M. in Shore Acres in St. Pete: even though low tide, flooding starting. High tide still 6.5 hours away. From Tim F. on Madeira Beach: Howling winds. Horizontal rain mid-morning. From Jackie D: wind whipping across Boca Ciega Bay. From Cindy W. in Tierra Verde: water levels 2+ feet above normal.
And from me: first power blip already happened. Glad I had ice cream for breakfast. Might have some more for lunch. J The wind and rain have picked up a lot at the northern end of St. Petersburg and I just turned the light on because it is darker outside than it was this morning. Here is a short video taken from my place - windy palm trees, a bit of rain. The usual stuff.

I’ll be back later, power dependent. It’s lunchtime…. ;-)
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DISCLAIMER: These remarks are just what I think/see regarding tropical storms - not the opinion of any organization I represent. If you are making an evacuation decision, please heed your local emergency management and the National Hurricane Center's official forecast and the National Weather Service announcements. This is not an official forecast. If I "run away, run away" (Monty Python), I'll let you know.

1 comment:

diverdutch said...

It is not lunchtime for you. It is ice cream time...