Friday, August 06, 2010

Tropical Storm Colin: August 6, Update A

The immortal phrase "I'm not dead yet" (Monty Python) springs to mind for some reason. ;-)
So... the Tropical Storm Formerly Known As 'The Tropical Storm Formerly Known As Colin' IS BACK! (I can see why Colin thought he'd try for a remake of Terminator. After all, this is a summer of macho-men movies with The A-Team and that other one with all those 80s and90s 'action' actors in it that I'm obviously not going to see.)
This time he really does look like a Tropical Storm (well he did yesterday and the day before), so I won't mumble or grumble anymore about a wasted name. He was steadily improving in looks for the last couple of days, with pretty strong circulation in the lowest little bit (say lowest 2-3 km) of the troposphere (the name for the lowest 10-16km of our atmosphere)... but that has now extended and the circulation looks strong from about 6-7km down to the surface. 
He was upgraded back to a TS yesterday evening, and is currently centered at 26.4N, 67.3W, moving NNW at 14mph. Central pressure is estimated to be 1007mb with maximum wind speeds of 50mph (TS range: 39-73mph). He's not very well put together - the center of circulation is easily seen in satellite images and what little convection there is, is entirely to the east because of wind shear. At the moment, there doesn't seem to be too much in the way of convection so although he is forecast to remain a tropical storm for the next few days (he passes Bermuda tomorrow). Unless he does some body-building exercises I'm not sure I'd classify him as such for much longer.
If there are any tales from Bermuda, I'll let y'all know. They are probably out on a research cruise ship at sea.... ;-)
More later amigos!
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These remarks are just what I think/see regarding tropical storms - not the opinion of any organization I represent. If you are making an evacuation decision, please heed your local emergency management and the National Hurricane Center's official forecast and the National Weather Service announcements. This is not an official forecast. If I was there and was going to "run away, run away" (Monty Python), I'll let you know.


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