Tropical Storm Isaac: October 2, Update A

As expected, Isaac is now a Tropical Storm with winds of about 60mph.
He's moving along at a rather brisk 41mph- to provide some context,
that's faster than me on a bike.

He has merged with that low front. The convection is ahead (to the
northeast) of the center which is completely in dry air. So Newfoundland
is probably experiencing some bad weather today but things should be
better by tomorrow morning even though the center of circulation won't
reach there until tomorrow.

This is my last post on Isaac.
J.
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DISCLAIMER:
These remarks are just what I think/see regarding tropical storms (my
storm blog). If you are making an evacuation decision, please heed your
local emergency management and the National Hurricane Center's official
forecast. This is not an official forecast.
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Hurricane Isaac: October 1, Update A

Isaac has picked up forward speed (now moving at a decent 17mph) and he
is also moving in a more northerly direction, and will turn north-north
east in the next few hours.

He's a weak cat 1 at 80 mph (cat 1: 74-95mph), and I don't expect him to
get any stronger - if anything, he should start weakening soon because
he is in colder waters now and in that region of stronger shear I
mentioned yesterday. He will probably be a tropical storm by this time
tomorrow.

There's a chance that he will clip Canada, but it won't be anything
major by the time he gets there. Nothing as strong as some of the winter
storms they experience every year.

That's all to say about Isaac for now. Toodles.
J.
------------------------------------------------------
DISCLAIMER:
These remarks are just what I think/see regarding tropical storms (my
storm blog). If you are making an evacuation decision, please heed your
local emergency management and the National Hurricane Center's official
forecast. This is not an official forecast.
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