Thursday, November 01, 2007

[Jyo_hurricane] Hurricane Noel: November 1, Update B

Good evening my friends,

Yup, you know who became a hurricane earlier this evening and is a
small-to-mid sized cat 1 at the moment with winds of 80 mph (cat 1: 74-95
mph). He has cleared the Bahamas, is zooming north-northeastward at 20
mph, and is currently at 27.3N, 76.1W.

The center of circulation is now firmly embedded within the area of
convection, but you can still see that there is some shear because the
clouds are larger in the north-east quadrant. He is also 'merging' with a
front that is moving eastward off the US eastern states into the Atlantic,
because, really, he doesn't have enough clouds of his own. :)

I agree with the NHC - he will become a strong extratropical storm
(hurricane) tomorrow. At the moment his forecast path takes him to the
Nova Scotia area on Saturday. I think there's a strong possibility that he
will curve out into the Atlantic before getting to that point - unless he
speeds up.

Toodle-pip for now,

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These remarks are just what I think/see regarding tropical storms - not
the opinion of any organization I represent. If you are making an
evacuation decision, please heed your local emergency management and the
National Hurricane Center's official forecast and the National Weather
Service announcements. This is not an official forecast. If I "run away,
run away" (Monty Python), I'll let you know.

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