After so many days of being in a strong wind shear environment (over 30 kt
shear), Karen is looking really poorly and just got downgraded to a
Tropical Depression. I would completely agree with that. Her track was a
bit loopy yesterday (but then again, whose isn't? ;) ), but she is now
heading northwestward. I'll still be watching her because there is some
circulation, but won't send anything out unless there's a change
(instensification or otherwise).
TS Melissa:
Formerly TD 14 in the eastern Atlantic, TS Melissa is a weak system and is
heading west-northwestward. She is also in a relatively high wind shear
environment, which is not helping her cause. The forecast track takes her
out to the Atlantic. Like Karen, I won't send anything out on her unless
there is a change, or unless she looks like she is heading towards land.
I was going to give you all something to ponder over concerning the strong
wind shear, but it's the weekend and you probably have lots of other fun
things to do. So I'll save that for a rainy day - but don't forget that
these storms are having difficulty developing because of the strong wind
shear. I'll be mentioning it again soon.
Have fun! :)
J.
Blogs archived at: http://www.jyotikastorms.blogspot.com/
-------------------------------
DISCLAIMER:
These remarks are just what I think/see regarding tropical storms - not
the opinion of any organization I represent. If you are making an
evacuation decision, please heed your local emergency management and
the National Hurricane Center's official forecast and the National
Weather Service announcements. This is not an official forecast. If I "run
away, run away" (Monty Python), I'll let you know.
-------------------------------------------
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