Wednesday, October 31, 2007

[Jyo_hurricane] TS Noel: October 31, Update C

Noel is no longer stationary (hurray hurray) and is moving northward away
from Cuba, ahead of the expected north-eastward turn into the Bahamas.
This is the time to watch, because he is moving away from land, is over
warm water (>28 deg C) and is temporarily in an area of slightly lower
wind shear so if he is going to grow, I agree with the NHC, it will be
within the next day. The 'center of circulation' is still on the western
edge of the convection, although not as much as removed from it as it has
been in the past few days.

The convection associated with this system is very impressive, and his
wind speed is up to 60 mph making him a moderate-to-strong storm.

That's all for today folks. I'll be back. Tomorrow. :)

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These remarks are just what I think/see regarding tropical storms - not
the opinion of any organization I represent. If you are making an
evacuation decision, please heed your local emergency management and the
National Hurricane Center's official forecast and the National Weather
Service announcements. This is not an official forecast. If I "run away,
run away" (Monty Python), I'll let you know.

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