Monday, August 17, 2020

The Remnants of TS Josephine and Kyle: August 16, Update A

I see that a possible world record may have been set today... 130 deg F (54.4 deg C!!) was observed in Death Valley, California - quite possibly the highest ever temperature recorded using reliable modern equipment.

Oof. I wouldn't want to live out there. My ice cream would be a puddle before I finished pulling it out of the freezer!

Fortunately, the weather in the Atlantic is a bit more manageable. That pretender storm, Kyle, is now officially post-tropical and so that's the end of that one. 

Josephine is now officially a remnant low pressure system and the NHC have also stopped posting any new updates on her as of this afternoon. This seems about right given that we saw no vorticity (circulation) in the mid-troposphere yesterday and it has continued to weaken today. Her last known location was 20.9N, 65.8W, heading WNW at 12mph. Winds were officially 35mph, central pressure was 1010mb (which is typical for your normal every-day low atmospheric pressure). Her convection has really deteriorated since last night as well now: 

So, that's the end of Josephine. Carry on playing golf, Bermuda. 

That leaves the next Atlantic Blobette and Blob. 

The next blobette in line has a 20% chance of formation in the next 48 hours. She's currently around 12.5N. 52W, heading W at a very fast 20mph. She's about 500 miles from the Windward islands and should be in the Caribbean in a couple of days. There is some vorticity in the lowest levels of the troposphere, but not enough to be a Tropical Storm. It has some convection, but it's not very coherent at the moment. Next name would be Laura, but it's too soon to say whether this is Laura or not.

There is also a blob that is waaay over in the eastern Atlantic - at 10N, 20W. It's really a very minor thing, and if it was in the Pacific, it wouldn't even be considered worthy of attention at this stage. After Laura is Marco. 

For today, that's all. I may be back tomorrow, depending on how that blobette is shaping up. 

Ciao for now,

J.

Twitter: jyovianstorm

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DISCLAIMER:
These remarks are just what I think/see regarding tropical storms - not the opinion of any organization I represent. If you are making an evacuation decision, please heed your local emergency management and the National Hurricane Center's official forecast and local weather service announcements. This is not an official forecast. If I "run away, run away" (Monty Python), I'll let you know. 
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