Tuesday, September 04, 2007

[Jyo_hurricane] Tropical Storm Felix: September 4, Update A

I just got back to planet Earth and see that Felix made landfall in
Nicaragua earlier today as a cat 5 storm. He is now a tropical storm and
about to enter Honduras. Of course, the danger really at this point is
from landslides due to heavy rainfall.

Some people asked me if Atlantic basin storms can cross into the Pacific,
and if they can do they keep the same name. Yes, they can cross and
redevelop but they are given different names once they are in the Pacific.
There are at least two cases in the past 20 years that I know about:

In 1996, Hurricane Cesar hit southern Nicaragua as a low level hurricane
and crossed central America and reintensified in the eastern Pacific as
Hurricane Douglas.

In 1988, Hurricane Joan also hit southern/central Nicaragua as a strong
hurricane (cat 4), crossed central America and reintensified in the
Pacific to become Tropical Storm Miriam.

The track that Felix took is a little farther north than Cesar or Joan so
it is unlikely that he will survive the transition as he moves westward
because there is more mountainous land in his path than there was in the
other two cases.

This is my last entry on this storm.

Cheerio for now.
J.
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DISCLAIMER:
These remarks are just what I think/see regarding tropical storms - not
the opinion of any organization I represent. If you are making an
evacuation decision, please heed your local emergency management and the
National Hurricane Center's official forecast and the National Weather
Service announcements. This is not an official forecast. If I "run away,
run away" (Monty Python), I'll let you know.
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