[Jyo_hurricane] Hurricane Bertha: July 7 update C

I think Bertha is having fun with the intensity forecasts being made :)
- although forecast to be a cat 2 in the 11am advisory, the 5pm NHS
advisory has her as a major hurricane category 3 storm (winds range:
111-130mph). Her wind speed is now 115mph, which is quite remarkable for
a storm that is surrounded by dry air and only over water temperatures
of 26-27 deg C. (she's moved back over slightly cooler waters since my
last update). She's at ~20.2N, 52.1 W and is moving W-NW at 12mph now,
so she has slowed down quite a bit. Minimum pressure has dropped to 948 mb.

The track is still something to keep an eye on, but it does look like
she's moving more northward of the official W-NW heading which will take
it east of Bermuda, but just in case... if you are in Bermuda, I hope
you are getting ready!

That's all for today folks. More tomorrow.
J.

Blogs archived at: http://www.jyotikastorms.blogspot.com/
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DISCLAIMER:
These remarks are just what I think/see regarding tropical storms - not
the opinion of any organization I represent. If you are making an
evacuation decision, please heed your local emergency management and the
National Hurricane Center's official forecast and the National Weather
Service announcements. This is not an official forecast. If I "run away,
run away" (Monty Python), I'll let you know.
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